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The Grand Salami

Testing the theory over the second half of the 2006-2007 season, it was found that when there are 6 games or more being played, and the calculated number differs by at least 1 goal or more from the published number, there was good correlation between the predicted over or under, and the actual result. If the differential was less than 1 goal, or less than 6 games were played, no action was recommended. For days in which these criteria were met, the method was predictive 10 times out of 11.

 

Games

Calculated

Line

Action

Actual

Result

 

 

 

 

 

 

11

60.6

65.5

under

61

win

13

76.48

78

under

73

win

11

63.29

66

under

63

win

9

53.24

52

over

57

win

8

48.7

47.5

over

51

win

9

53.4

52

over

56

win

6

35.66

37

under

33

win

11

64.21

62

over

76

win

12

68.8

70.5

under

68

win

8

46.59

45.5

over

47

win

8

46.99

48

under

49

loss

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